https://airveto.com Wind analysis, incident reconstructions, and explainers covering the EU's eastern frontier - Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Ukraine. en Wed, 09 Sep 2026 20:41:39 GMT https://airveto.com/briefs/vsat-officers-drone-smuggling-collusion-2026-09-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/vsat-officers-drone-smuggling-collusion-2026-09-08 VSAT detained seven suspects, including three of its own officers, after a drone delivered 22 boxes of Belarusian cigarettes near Lazdijai on September 8, 2026. Wed, 09 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT clara-whitfield Brief Lithuania Belarus VSAT Lazdijai contraband-drones corruption cigarette-smuggling https://airveto.com/incidents/mihaileni-vechi-drone-2026-09-08 https://airveto.com/incidents/mihaileni-vechi-drone-2026-09-08 A Shahed-type drone carrying explosives and shrapnel crossed from Moldova into five Romanian counties and back before crashing near Mihăileni Vechi, Rîșcani District, Moldova, on September 8, 2026. Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident MD Moldova Romania drone Shahed RO-Alert Rîșcani airspace incursion NATO https://airveto.com/briefs/estonia-datasel-artillery-shells-scandal-2026-09 https://airveto.com/briefs/estonia-datasel-artillery-shells-scandal-2026-09 Estonia committed roughly €70 million to an untested Italian-Indian supplier for Ukraine-bound shells; the rounds that arrived were faulty and Pevkur resigned. Mon, 07 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Estonia procurement artillery shells Ukraine aid Datasel Hanno Pevkur https://airveto.com/incidents/daugidonys-drone-2026-09-06 https://airveto.com/incidents/daugidonys-drone-2026-09-06 VSAT downed a homemade drone from Belarus near Daugidonys, Šalčininkai district, on September 6, 2026. Cargo: 1,000 packs NZ Gold cigarettes, €5,510. The 55th drone interception of 2026. Mon, 07 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Šalčininkų district Daugidonys contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling NZ Gold quadcopter https://airveto.com/briefs/finland-shelter-2026-civil-defense-drill-2026-09 https://airveto.com/briefs/finland-shelter-2026-civil-defense-drill-2026-09 Finland ran a two-day, 2,000-participant civil defense exercise in Kuopio on September 2-3, 2026, weeks after a Russian Il-20 crossed into its airspace. Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Finland Kuopio civil defense NATO Russia Il-20 https://airveto.com/briefs/greece-f4-phantom-crash-2026-09-05 https://airveto.com/briefs/greece-f4-phantom-crash-2026-09-05 An F-4E Phantom crashed during a low-level display at Tanagra Air Base on September 5, 2026, killing both pilots and starting a wildfire. Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Greece Hellenic Air Force F-4 Phantom airshow military aviation https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-asc890-combat-missions-2026-09 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-asc890-combat-missions-2026-09 Ukraine's Defense Ministry says its Swedish-donated ASC 890 early-warning aircraft has flown combat missions since March 2026, guiding its F-16, Mirage and Gripen fleets. Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine Sweden ASC 890 Erieye airborne early warning F-16 https://airveto.com/incidents/porvoo-geoscan-drone-2026-09-01 https://airveto.com/incidents/porvoo-geoscan-drone-2026-09-01 A Russian-made Geoscan 701 mapping drone washed up near Porvoo, Finland, on September 1, 2026; Russia had already warned Finland that a civilian mapping drone had gone missing. Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Porvoo Pellinki Russia Geoscan drone airspace violation Gulf of Finland https://airveto.com/incidents/finland-il20-airspace-violation-2026-08-20 https://airveto.com/incidents/finland-il20-airspace-violation-2026-08-20 A Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft crossed roughly 8.7 km into Finnish airspace south of Utö island on August 20, 2026, staying for about three minutes; Finland summoned Russia's ambassador. Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Gulf of Finland Russia Il-20 ELINT reconnaissance airspace violation NATO https://airveto.com/incidents/virolahti-hamina-drone-incursion-2026-05-03 https://airveto.com/incidents/virolahti-hamina-drone-incursion-2026-05-03 Two drones crossed into Finnish airspace near Virolahti and off Hamina in the early hours of May 3, 2026, then exited toward Russia; investigators later attributed them to Ukraine. Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Virolahti Hamina Kymenlaakso Ukraine drone airspace violation Gulf of Finland https://airveto.com/briefs/witkoff-kushner-moscow-2026-09-05 https://airveto.com/briefs/witkoff-kushner-moscow-2026-09-05 Witkoff and Kushner arrived in Moscow on September 5, 2026 with a US proposal to end the war; the Kremlin says it ordered a pause on strikes against Kyiv for their visit there Sunday. Sat, 05 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Russia Ukraine Kremlin Witkoff Kushner diplomacy Kyiv https://airveto.com/incidents/bartoszyce-drone-2026-05-09 https://airveto.com/incidents/bartoszyce-drone-2026-05-09 A Russian-marked reconnaissance drone crossed from Kaliningrad into Poland and was found in a field near Bartoszyce on May 9, 2026, prosecutors said. Sat, 05 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Bartoszyce Kaliningrad reconnaissance drone Military Gendarmerie Russia https://airveto.com/incidents/preilack-substation-sabotage-2026-09-01 https://airveto.com/incidents/preilack-substation-sabotage-2026-09-01 Homemade explosive and incendiary devices hit the Preilack switching station feeding Germany's Jänschwalde power plant on September 1, 2026; officials called it an attempted act of sabotage. Fri, 04 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident DE Germany Brandenburg Jänschwalde 50Hertz power grid sabotage critical infrastructure hybrid warfare https://airveto.com/incidents/demene-drone-2026-08-30 https://airveto.com/incidents/demene-drone-2026-08-30 Latvian border guards found a drone carrying 15,000 smuggled cigarettes in Demene parish, Augšdaugava Municipality, on August 30, 2026. Fri, 04 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Augšdaugava Demene contraband drones State Border Guard Belarus tobacco smuggling NZ Gold https://airveto.com/briefs/azerbaijan-ammunition-depot-explosion-2026-09 https://airveto.com/briefs/azerbaijan-ammunition-depot-explosion-2026-09 A Goranboy district depot exploded on September 2, 2026 and forced 5,000 evacuations, the latest unexplained incident in a year of Russia-Azerbaijan friction. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Azerbaijan Russia hybrid-warfare Goranboy ammunition-depot explosion https://airveto.com/briefs/engels-bomber-general-shot-2026-09-03 https://airveto.com/briefs/engels-bomber-general-shot-2026-09-03 Nikolai Varpakhovich, the EU-sanctioned commander tied to the Okhmatdyt hospital strike, was shot near Russia's Engels bomber base on September 3, 2026. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Russia Engels Tu-95 assassination long-range-aviation Okhmatdyt https://airveto.com/briefs/germany-hardens-against-russia-2026-09 https://airveto.com/briefs/germany-hardens-against-russia-2026-09 A shut Russian consulate, two power-grid sabotage attempts, a firebombed defense-industry building, and Germany's first ballistic missile test all landed between 31 Aug and 4 Sep 2026. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Germany Russia hybrid-warfare LORA Israel-Aerospace-Industries power-grid sabotage consulate Leipzig-Halle Bundeswehr Brandenburg NRW Munich Rohde-Schwarz https://airveto.com/briefs/turkey-airlines-moscow-flights-2026-09-02 https://airveto.com/briefs/turkey-airlines-moscow-flights-2026-09-02 Pegasus and Turkish Airlines diverted or canceled dozens of Moscow flights on September 2, 2026 after Zelensky warned Russian airspace is no longer safe. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Russia Turkey Pegasus aviation airspace-warning Zelensky ICAO https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-il20-intercept-2026-09-03 https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-il20-intercept-2026-09-03 Polish fighter jets intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft 40 km north of Ustka in the Baltic Sea on September 3, 2026; no Polish airspace violation. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Baltic Sea Russia Il-20 ELINT reconnaissance intercept Ustka Polish Air Force NATO https://airveto.com/incidents/nakhchivan-drones-2026-03-05 https://airveto.com/incidents/nakhchivan-drones-2026-03-05 Iranian drones hit Nakhchivan International Airport and a village near the Iranian border on March 5, 2026, injuring civilians; Iran denied responsibility. Thu, 03 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident AZ Azerbaijan Iran Nakhchivan drone-strike airport https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-drone-maker-intimidation-2026-08-30 https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-drone-maker-intimidation-2026-08-30 Funeral wreaths and a photo of RSI Europe's chief executive, tied with a black mourning ribbon, were left outside the Vilnius drone maker's offices in late August 2026. Wed, 02 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Vilnius RSI Europe intimidation sabotage defence industry Ukraine supply chain Czechia https://airveto.com/incidents/viisoara-drone-2026-09-01 https://airveto.com/incidents/viisoara-drone-2026-09-01 A drone carrying explosives crashed near Viișoara, Vaslui County, roughly 30 km from Moldova on 1 Sep 2026; Romania's SRI detonated it safely, no injuries. Tue, 01 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Vaslui drone explosives SRI Moldova border airspace incursion https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-estonia-drone-alert-2026-09-01 https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-estonia-drone-alert-2026-09-01 Overnight drone alerts across Latvia's Aluksne municipality and eight Estonian counties on 1 Sep 2026 prompted NATO to scramble Turkish F-16s from Amari; no drone was confirmed downed. Tue, 01 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Estonia drone NATO Baltic Air Policing Amari Air Base Aluksne Narva Ust-Luga https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-il20-intercept-2026-08-31 https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-il20-intercept-2026-08-31 Polish fighter jets intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft 30 km north of Leba in the Baltic Sea before noon on August 31, 2026; no Polish airspace violation. Tue, 01 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Baltic Sea Russia Il-20 ELINT reconnaissance intercept Leba Polish Air Force NATO https://airveto.com/briefs/termit-ugv-fpv-dodge-2026-07-30 https://airveto.com/briefs/termit-ugv-fpv-dodge-2026-07-30 A Termit UGV swerved out of an FPV drone's path mid-delivery on July 30, 2026, the operator spotting the threat through the robot's own rear-facing camera. Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine Termit UGV FPV drone ground robot counter-drone tactics https://airveto.com/incidents/skarzysko-kamienna-fire-2026-08-31 https://airveto.com/incidents/skarzysko-kamienna-fire-2026-08-31 A man broke into a WB Electronics drone-parts plant in Skarżysko-Kamienna, Poland, and threw an incendiary device into a production hall just after midnight on August 31, 2026. Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland WB Electronics sabotage arson defence industry Ukraine supply chain https://airveto.com/briefs/gordon-bennett-cup-lithuania-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/gordon-bennett-cup-lithuania-2026 Gordon Bennett Cup teams are airborne over Lithuania this week, near the corridor where Belarus shot down a competing balloon in 1995. Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Gordon Bennett Cup Suwałki Gap Belarus airspace https://airveto.com/incidents/palanca-drone-2026-08-26 https://airveto.com/incidents/palanca-drone-2026-08-26 A drone crossed into Moldova near Palanca on August 26, 2026; five more crossed the same border overnight into Moldova's Independence Day, its Defence Ministry said. Wed, 26 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident MD Moldova Palanca Tudora Odesa Ștefan Vodă Chișinău drone airspace incursion Ukraine Russia Independence Day https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-drone-parade-independence-day-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-drone-parade-independence-day-2026-08 Kyiv's 35th Independence Day parade on 24 August put uncrewed ground, air and sea systems in front of formations for the first time, with no marching troops or crewed armor. Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine UGV drones Unmanned Systems Forces Independence Day https://airveto.com/briefs/us-c17-moscow-landing-kaliningrad-nato-2026-08-25 https://airveto.com/briefs/us-c17-moscow-landing-kaliningrad-nato-2026-08-25 CIA Director John Ratcliffe flew into Moscow on August 25, 2026 aboard the US C-17 that landed a week after NATO's largest Kaliningrad air package of the year, CBS News reported. Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Kaliningrad NATO Russia United States Moscow Baltic Sea https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-storm-airspace-2026-08-22 https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-storm-airspace-2026-08-22 One system crossed four countries on August 22, 2026. A falling tree killed a man in Lithuania, Poland logged 7,754 fire callouts, and three kilometers up the border wind hit 122 km/h. Sat, 22 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Lithuania Latvia Poland Estonia wind storm balloons Suwałki Corridor Krāslava https://airveto.com/briefs/bulgaria-f16-delivery-delay-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/bulgaria-f16-delivery-delay-2026-08 Lockheed Martin told Bulgaria on 14 August its second batch of eight F-16 Block 70s, due in 2027, won't arrive before Q2 2030. Fri, 21 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Bulgaria F-16 Lockheed Martin defence industry NATO eastern flank https://airveto.com/incidents/neptun-deep-naval-drone-2026-08-20 https://airveto.com/incidents/neptun-deep-naval-drone-2026-08-20 An explosive-laden naval drone was spotted near Romania's Neptun Deep gas platform in the Black Sea on August 20, 2026. Romanian F-16s destroyed it; von der Leyen called it hybrid warfare. Fri, 21 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Black Sea Neptun Deep naval drone maritime drone F-16 NATO von der Leyen hybrid warfare https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-supply-chain-fires-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-supply-chain-fires-2026-08 Ammunition plants, an airport, and a robotics maker tied to Ukraine's supply chain caught fire, exploded, or came under threat in eleven days this August. Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine supply chain defence industry sabotage Estonia Bulgaria Italy Germany https://airveto.com/incidents/tallinn-arson-2026-08-15 https://airveto.com/incidents/tallinn-arson-2026-08-15 A deliberate fire hit a Milrem Robotics building in Tallinn on August 15, 2026; three suspects were detained in Latvia as Estonia examines a possible Russian sabotage link. Thu, 20 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident EE Estonia Tallinn Milrem Robotics arson sabotage defence industry Ukraine supply chain Latvia https://airveto.com/briefs/nato-baltic-exercise-kaliningrad-2026-08-18 https://airveto.com/briefs/nato-baltic-exercise-kaliningrad-2026-08-18 NATO flew a large unannounced air package near Kaliningrad on August 18, 2026, days after Russia's embassy threatened the UK over Ukrainian drone strikes. Wed, 19 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Kaliningrad NATO United Kingdom Russia air policing Baltic Sea Article 5 https://airveto.com/incidents/baleni-cudalbi-drone-2026-08-16 https://airveto.com/incidents/baleni-cudalbi-drone-2026-08-16 Two Spanish F-18s shot down a drone that crossed into Romania from Moldova on August 16, 2026, intercepting it near Băleni and Cudalbi, Galați County, 17 minutes after it was detected. Sun, 16 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Galați drone F-18 shoot-down Moldova border airspace incursion NATO https://airveto.com/incidents/belitsa-munitions-explosion-2026-08-10 https://airveto.com/incidents/belitsa-munitions-explosion-2026-08-10 An explosion tore through an EMCO ammunition depot near Belitsa, Bulgaria, on August 10, 2026 after a truck fire spread to a warehouse; no casualties, cause still under investigation. Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident BG Bulgaria Belitsa EMCO munitions explosion Ukraine supply chain defence industry https://airveto.com/incidents/balvi-drone-shootdown-2026-08-14 https://airveto.com/incidents/balvi-drone-shootdown-2026-08-14 On August 14, 2026, NATO jets shot down a foreign drone over Latvia's Balvi region after Russian electronic warfare diverted it into NATO airspace - Latvia's second aerial intercept in two months. Fri, 14 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Balvi drone NATO shoot-down Russian EW electromagnetic warfare Baltic Air Policing Šiauliai Latgale https://airveto.com/incidents/colleferro-munitions-explosion-2026-08-13 https://airveto.com/incidents/colleferro-munitions-explosion-2026-08-13 An explosion tore through the KNDS Ammo Italy munitions plant near Rome on August 13, 2026; all 24 workers on site evacuated safely before the blast. Thu, 13 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident IT Italy Colleferro KNDS munitions explosion Ukraine supply chain defence industry https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-counter-mobility-plan-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-counter-mobility-plan-2026-08 Lithuania's government approved a revised counter-mobility plan August 12, 2026: the deadline moves to December 2028 as the network grows from 27 to 50 sites. Wed, 12 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Lithuania Belarus Kaliningrad counter-mobility border fortification NATO eastern flank defence infrastructure https://airveto.com/briefs/blended-wing-boeing-rivals-jetzero-natilus-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/blended-wing-boeing-rivals-jetzero-natilus-2026-08 JetZero and Natilus, two blended-wing-body startups backed by over a billion dollars combined, have each flown only a subscale prototype. Tue, 11 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Boeing Airbus JetZero Natilus blended-wing US Air Force aerospace defence procurement https://airveto.com/incidents/skrudaliena-tunnel-2026-08-10 https://airveto.com/incidents/skrudaliena-tunnel-2026-08-10 A tunnel dug from Belarus surfaced near Silene, Latvia, on August 10, 2026, the first found on this border; 15 people who crossed it were returned to Belarus. Tue, 11 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Belarus Skrudaliena Silene tunnel migration border https://airveto.com/briefs/baltic-drone-damage-compensation-insurance-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/baltic-drone-damage-compensation-insurance-2026-08 Latvia's government fell over a drone it didn't shoot down. Twelve days later Estonia shot one down for the first time. Lithuania needed two separate laws to remove the hesitation for good. Mon, 10 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Lithuania Latvia Estonia drones balloons policy NATO eastern-flank https://airveto.com/incidents/kardam-drone-pipeline-2026-08-08 https://airveto.com/incidents/kardam-drone-pipeline-2026-08-08 A drone crossed into Bulgaria from Romania and exploded near a Trans-Balkan gas pipeline compressor station on August 8, 2026; neither country detected it before impact - no casualties were reported. Sun, 09 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident BG Bulgaria Romania Trans-Balkan gas pipeline Maya decoy drone energy infrastructure NATO Black Sea https://airveto.com/incidents/leipzig-halle-airport-drone-2026-08-04 https://airveto.com/incidents/leipzig-halle-airport-drone-2026-08-04 An explosive-laden drone targeted a Ukrainian cargo plane at Leipzig/Halle Airport, Germany, on August 4, 2026; only a failed detonator prevented an explosion. Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident DE Germany Leipzig/Halle Airport explosive drone Antonov Airlines Ukrainian cargo plane hybrid warfare sabotage NATO https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-storm-august-6-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-storm-august-6-2026 LHMT sent a Level-2 alert for weather that never arrived, five days after staying silent through a flood that did real damage. The alert followed public criticism, not a change in risk. Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief lithuania weather alert-system gerbera vilnius https://airveto.com/incidents/latezeris-tunnel-2026-08-04 https://airveto.com/incidents/latezeris-tunnel-2026-08-04 VSAT's Kabeliai Border Post, with Polish tunnel-detection specialists, found a 4-meter unfinished tunnel near Latežeris, Druskininkai municipality - the third Varėna-district tunnel in weeks. Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Druskininkai Latežeris VSAT Belarus tunnel migration Kabeliai https://airveto.com/briefs/russia-recovered-ukrainian-drones-false-flag-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/russia-recovered-ukrainian-drones-false-flag-2026-08 A Ukrainian presidential drone adviser says Russia is repairing recovered Ukrainian FP-1/FP-2 drones, likely to stage strikes on NATO states that look Ukrainian-made. Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Russia Ukraine drones false-flag NATO eastern-flank Poland Lithuania Bulgaria disinformation FP-1 FP-2 https://airveto.com/incidents/kuodziai-four-drones-2026-07-30 https://airveto.com/incidents/kuodziai-four-drones-2026-07-30 VSAT Kapčiamiestis Border Post downed four contraband drones near Kuodžiai village, Lazdijai district, in under 30 minutes on July 30, 2026. Cargo: 4,000 packs of cigarettes, €21,840. Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lazdijai district Kuodžiai contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling NZ Gold NZ Black https://airveto.com/incidents/norviliskes-three-drones-2026-07-29 https://airveto.com/incidents/norviliskes-three-drones-2026-07-29 VSAT landed three contraband drones near Norviliškės, in the Belarus-surrounded Dieveniškės Loop, on the night of July 29, 2026. Cargo: 3,000 packs NZ Gold SuperSlims, €16,380. Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Šalčininkai district Dieveniškės Loop Norviliškės Daulėnai contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling NZ Gold SuperSlims https://airveto.com/incidents/veismunai-balloon-cargo-2026-07-27 https://airveto.com/incidents/veismunai-balloon-cargo-2026-07-27 VSAT ambushed three men collecting a balloon-dropped cigarette cargo near Veismūnai, Alytus district, overnight July 27-28, 2026. 12,000 packs NZ Gold and Minsk Superslims, valued €65,500. Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Alytus district Veismūnai contraband balloons Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling NZ Gold Minsk Superslims https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-ugv-aerial-delivery-2026-08 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-ugv-aerial-delivery-2026-08 A heavy-lift multicopter carries a mine-armed robot to a Russian position, releases it, and flies home. Russian battlefield footage circulated 19 July; Forbes confirmed the same operation with additional detail on 3 August. Mon, 03 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine heavy-lift drone explosive delivery UGV ARK-1 autonomous warfare https://airveto.com/incidents/periprava-drone-2026-08-02 https://airveto.com/incidents/periprava-drone-2026-08-02 A drone crossed into Romanian airspace near the Danube Delta on August 2, 2026; Romania issued a RO-Alert but did not engage, unlike three prior intercepts that week. Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea drone F-16 Danube Delta RO-Alert airspace incursion https://airveto.com/briefs/latvia-belarus-border-mutual-aid-2026-07 https://airveto.com/briefs/latvia-belarus-border-mutual-aid-2026-07 Belarus redirected migrant pressure onto Latvia's border in 2026. Two unfinished infrastructure layers explain the strain: surveillance and rail. Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Latvia Lithuania Estonia border security Rail Baltica Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/tarnawa-kolonia-projectile-2026-07-30 https://airveto.com/incidents/tarnawa-kolonia-projectile-2026-07-30 A Russian Kh-101 cruise missile crossed into Poland on July 30, 2026, impacting farmland in Lublin Voivodeship and leaving a 10-meter crater approximately 90 km inside NATO territory. Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Lublin Voivodeship Bilgoraj Kh-101 cruise missile NATO airspace airspace violation Russian strike https://airveto.com/incidents/kaliningrad-balloons-2026-07-27 https://airveto.com/incidents/kaliningrad-balloons-2026-07-27 Russia's Federal Customs Service intercepted two suspects in Kaliningrad on July 27, 2026 before they could launch weather balloons carrying 6,500 packs of cigarettes to Lithuania. Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RU Kaliningrad Russia cigarette smuggling weather balloon Lithuania FCS contraband https://airveto.com/incidents/pertakas-tunnel-2026-07-26 https://airveto.com/incidents/pertakas-tunnel-2026-07-26 VSAT found an 11m unfinished tunnel near Pertakas on July 26, 2026 and withheld an officer confrontation, a cover-up that led chief Rustamas Liubajevas to resign on 17 August. Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Lazdijai VSAT Belarus tunnel migration Pertakas Kapčiamiestis https://airveto.com/briefs/neris-cigarette-raft-2026-07-27 https://airveto.com/briefs/neris-cigarette-raft-2026-07-27 Lithuanian border guards pulled a snowflake-shaped metal raft from the Neris on July 27, 2026, the second identical seizure in two months at the Pavoverė post in Švenčioniai district. Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT clara-whitfield Brief Lithuania Belarus cigarette-smuggling Neris Švenčioniai VSAT contraband river-smuggling https://airveto.com/incidents/romania-danube-delta-drone-series-2026-07 https://airveto.com/incidents/romania-danube-delta-drone-series-2026-07 Romanian F-16s shot down three drones over the Danube Delta on July 24–26, 2026. A fourth entered east of Sulina on 27 July and flew to Ukraine without intercept. Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Danube Delta Black Sea Sulina drone Shahed F-16 86th Air Base airspace incursion https://airveto.com/incidents/tausiunai-drone-2026-07-26 https://airveto.com/incidents/tausiunai-drone-2026-07-26 VSAT Purvėnai post downed a fixed-wing drone near Tausiūnai, Šalčininkai district, on July 26, 2026. Cargo: 200 packs NZ Gold cigarettes, €1,092. The 35th drone interception of 2026. Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Šalčininkų district Tausiūnai contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling NZ Gold fixed-wing https://airveto.com/incidents/kabeliai-tunnel-2026-07-22 https://airveto.com/incidents/kabeliai-tunnel-2026-07-22 VSAT Kabeliai Border Post detected a Belarus-to-Lithuania tunnel near Piesčiai, Varėna district on July 22, 2026. Diameter 1m, depth 1.5m, 5m in, no Lithuanian exit. Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Varėna VSAT Belarus tunnel migration Kabeliai Piesčiai https://airveto.com/incidents/sulina-chilia-drone-2026-07-26 https://airveto.com/incidents/sulina-chilia-drone-2026-07-26 Romanian Air Force F-16 shot down a drone 12 km northeast of Sulina over Romanian Black Sea territorial waters at 10:13 EEST on July 26, 2026, the third Romanian drone intercept in three consecutive days. Romania summoned Russia's ambassador following the incident. Sun, 26 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Black Sea Sulina drone Shahed F-16 shoot-down 86th Air Base airspace incursion https://airveto.com/incidents/sfantu-gheorghe-drone-2026-07-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/sfantu-gheorghe-drone-2026-07-25 Romanian F-16 shot down a Shahed-type drone 10 km west of Sfântu Gheorghe in the Danube Delta at 05:30 UTC on July 25, 2026 - Romania's second drone intercept in less than 24 hours. Sat, 25 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Danube Delta drone Shahed F-16 shoot-down 86th Air Base airspace incursion https://airveto.com/briefs/east-shield-bundeswehr-poland-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/east-shield-bundeswehr-poland-2026 Bundeswehr engineers in Poland since June 2026 digging anti-tank ditches under the 10 billion PLN East Shield programme on the Belarus and Kaliningrad frontier. Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Poland East Shield Bundeswehr NATO fortifications Suwałki Gap eastern flank https://airveto.com/incidents/padina-drone-shootdown-2026-07-24 https://airveto.com/incidents/padina-drone-shootdown-2026-07-24 Romania's first drone intercept in its own airspace: F-16 from the 86th Air Base shot down an unidentified drone near Padina, Buzău county at 11:02 EEST on July 24, 2026. Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Buzău drone F-16 shoot-down 86th Air Base Fetești airspace incursion Danube delta first intercept https://airveto.com/incidents/kotka-drone-alerts-2026-07 https://airveto.com/incidents/kotka-drone-alerts-2026-07 Finland imposed four temporary airspace and maritime restrictions on the eastern Gulf of Finland between 2 and July 18, 2026, each linked to Ukrainian drone strikes near St Petersburg. Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Gulf of Finland Kotka Kymenlaakso Ukrainian drone Finnish Defence Forces airspace restriction Fintraffic Leningrad region Russian electronic warfare GPS spoofing Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/nato-air-defense-restructuring-2026-07-22 https://airveto.com/briefs/nato-air-defense-restructuring-2026-07-22 Eastern European drone threats forced NATO to restructure air defense: Patriot ACE, Ukrainian Sting interceptors, and European co-production. Ukraine's supply chain became critical. Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief NATO air-defense Ukraine supply-chain eastern-flank drone-threats Patriot-ACE interceptor-drone Poland Estonia Latvia Lithuania Pentagon Gulf-states https://airveto.com/briefs/alarm-2026-poland-2026-07-21 https://airveto.com/briefs/alarm-2026-poland-2026-07-21 On July 21, 2026, Poland ran ALARM 2026: nationwide sirens across all 16 voivodeships, military deployment in the Opole-Zawadzkie-Turawa area, and simultaneous activation of emergency services. Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Poland ALARM 2026 civil defence military exercise NATO eastern flank Opole Turawa Zawadzkie Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/kenas-drone-2026-07-18 https://airveto.com/incidents/kenas-drone-2026-07-18 VSAT officers at the Kenas outpost heard a drone crossing from Belarus on the night of July 17, 2026 but couldn't find it in darkness. A dog handler located it the next morning in forest near Šumskų village, Vilnius district. Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Kenas Vilnius district contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling Minsk Capital QS dog handler https://airveto.com/incidents/salcininkai-drone-2026-05-07 https://airveto.com/incidents/salcininkai-drone-2026-05-07 VSAT brought down a contraband drone in Šalčininkų district on May 7, 2026, recovering 850 packs of Minsk Capital QS cigarettes worth €4,683 - the 17th drone interception of the year on the Lithuania-Belarus border. Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Šalčininkų district contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling Minsk Capital QS https://airveto.com/incidents/bobrowniki-drone-smuggling-2026-04-20 https://airveto.com/incidents/bobrowniki-drone-smuggling-2026-04-20 Polish border guards at Bobrowniki detained three men - two Belarusians and one Pole - who came to collect cigarettes delivered by drone from Belarus. Charged under tax law, aviation law, and Poland's anti-aggression statute. Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Bobrowniki Podlaskie Poland contraband drones Belarus tobacco smuggling arrest anti-aggression law https://airveto.com/briefs/kinburn-spit-usv-ugv-2026-07-13 https://airveto.com/briefs/kinburn-spit-usv-ugv-2026-07-13 On July 13, 2026, Ukraine's 123rd Brigade used an unmanned surface vessel to land an armed ground robot on Russian-occupied Kinburn Spit, the first documented USV-to-UGV combat delivery in warfare. Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine USV UGV Kinburn Spit Black Sea unmanned systems autonomous warfare maritime drone https://airveto.com/briefs/wildberries-drone-strike-2026-07-18 https://airveto.com/briefs/wildberries-drone-strike-2026-07-18 Ukraine has struck Wildberries' warehouses repeatedly since July 18, 2026, taking seven of the company's ten largest logistics hubs offline by 16 August. Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT clara-whitfield Brief Russia Moscow Oblast Ukraine drone strike Wildberries Elektrostal logistics Russia's Amazon military equipment https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-su30-il20m-intercept-2026-07-16 https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-su30-il20m-intercept-2026-07-16 Polish QRA fighters intercepted two Russian Su-30s then an Il-20M in the same sortie over the Baltic Sea on July 16, 2026, 30 km north of Jastrzębia Góra. Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Baltic Sea Russia Su-30 Il-20M Kaliningrad reconnaissance ELINT intercept Polish Air Force Sweden NATO Jastrzębia Góra https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-su30-intercept-2026-07-15 https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-su30-intercept-2026-07-15 Polish and Swedish fighter jets intercepted two Russian Su-30SM2 aircraft from Kaliningrad over the Baltic Sea on July 15, 2026, one day after a Russian Il-20 ELINT mission over the same waters. Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Baltic Sea Russia Su-30SM2 Kaliningrad reconnaissance intercept Polish Air Force Sweden NATO https://airveto.com/incidents/dieveniskes-drone-2026-06-22 https://airveto.com/incidents/dieveniskes-drone-2026-06-22 Lithuanian border guards intercepted a 3-meter fixed-wing drone from Belarus near the Dieveniškės Loop, Šalčininkų district, on June 22, 2026, using counter-drone equipment. Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Belarus contraband drone Šalčininkų district Dieveniškės fixed-wing VSAT border https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-nasams-sentinel-radar-2026-07-16 https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-nasams-sentinel-radar-2026-07-16 Latvia is transferring SENTINEL air-defence radars to Lithuania at US suggestion, extending the Baltic NASAMS network at no cost to Vilnius. Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Lithuania NASAMS SENTINEL air defence Latvia Baltic security NATO https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-il20-intercept-2026-07-14 https://airveto.com/incidents/baltic-sea-il20-intercept-2026-07-14 Polish F-16s intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft 30 km north of Ustka in the Baltic Sea on July 14, 2026; Polish Defence Minister Kosiniak-Kamysz called it a large-scale provocation. Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Baltic Sea Russia Il-20 ELINT reconnaissance F-16 intercept Ustka Polish Air Force NATO https://airveto.com/incidents/suraz-balloons-2026-07-13 https://airveto.com/incidents/suraz-balloons-2026-07-13 Polish border guards in Podlaskie detained two Lithuanians collecting 350 cartons of contraband cigarettes delivered by weather balloon to Suraż on July 13, 2026. Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Podlaskie Suraż Belarus balloons cigarette smuggling Lithuania contraband weather balloon https://airveto.com/briefs/dragoon-fury-26-lithuania https://airveto.com/briefs/dragoon-fury-26-lithuania Lithuania's Dragoon Battalion began Dragoon Fury 26 at Kazlų Rūda on July 13, 2026, drilling counter-drone defence as Russian drones keep crossing its airspace. Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Lithuania Dragoon Fury 26 Dragūnų įniršis military exercise counter-drone C-UAS Kazlų Rūda Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/iran-russia-shahed-supply-chain https://airveto.com/briefs/iran-russia-shahed-supply-chain The Shahed-136 that crosses into Polish airspace is an Iranian design built in Russia. How the Alabuga supply chain puts the same drone over NATO's border. Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Shahed-136 Geran-2 Gerbera Iran Russia Poland Alabuga loitering munition Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/sky-fortress-acoustic-drone-detection https://airveto.com/briefs/sky-fortress-acoustic-drone-detection Sky Fortress is a Ukrainian network of cheap acoustic sensors that detects drones and cruise missiles by sound. Lithuania is fielding it from 2026. Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Sky Fortress acoustic detection counter-drone C-UAS Lithuania Ukraine Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/nato-sonic-boom-north-lithuania-2026-07-13 https://airveto.com/briefs/nato-sonic-boom-north-lithuania-2026-07-13 Lithuania's armed forces warned residents of sonic booms from a NATO fighter exercise on July 13, five days after Baltic Air Policing was upgraded to an air defence mission with new intercept authority. Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief NATO Baltic Air Policing Šiauliai Lithuania sonic boom SACEUR https://airveto.com/incidents/kopanka-drone-2026-07-13 https://airveto.com/incidents/kopanka-drone-2026-07-13 A Russian Geran-2 drone crossed into Moldova and exploded near Copanca during an overnight strike on Odesa, prompting Chișinău to summon Russia's ambassador and issue a formal protest. Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident MD Moldova Copanca Kopanka Geran-2 Shahed Russia drone airspace incursion Odesa https://airveto.com/incidents/daugidoniai-drone-2026-07-12 https://airveto.com/incidents/daugidoniai-drone-2026-07-12 Lithuanian border guards intercepted a contraband drone from Belarus near Daugidoniai village on Sunday, July 12, 2026, recovering 200 packs of NZ Gold cigarettes worth €1,102. Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Daugidoniai Šalčininkų district contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling https://airveto.com/incidents/padvarionys-drones-2026-07-09 https://airveto.com/incidents/padvarionys-drones-2026-07-09 VSAT officers at the Padvarioniai outpost intercepted two contraband drones from Belarus on Thursday night, July 9, 2026, recovering 2,000 packs of Queen Menthol cigarettes worth €10,920. Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Padvarioniai Šalčininkų district contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling https://airveto.com/incidents/romania-black-sea-naval-drones-2026-07-11 https://airveto.com/incidents/romania-black-sea-naval-drones-2026-07-11 Romanian forces detected and destroyed five Ukrainian naval drones in the Black Sea between May and July 2026, acting Defence Minister Radu Miruță disclosed on July 11, 2026. Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Black Sea Sea Baby naval drone maritime drone sea drone Ukrainian maritime drone NATO Romanian Navy https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-21-shadow-fleet-ships-2026-07 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-21-shadow-fleet-ships-2026-07 Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces struck 21 Russian shadow fleet vessels in 72 hours starting July 6, 2026 - then kept going. By 18 July, Operation MoLoChKa had hit 172 vessels in 13 days - 118 in the Sea of Azov, 54 in the Black Sea. Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Maritime security Russia Ukraine Shadow fleet Drone warfare Sea of Azov Kerch Strait https://airveto.com/incidents/prudelis-drone-2026-07-09 https://airveto.com/incidents/prudelis-drone-2026-07-09 VSAT border guards at Prūdelis village used anti-drone equipment to take over a cigarette-smuggling drone from Belarus. After the control signal was overridden, the drone crashed to the ground. Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Prūdelis Šalčininkų district contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling https://airveto.com/incidents/tulcea-snake-island-drone-alert-2026-07-07 https://airveto.com/incidents/tulcea-snake-island-drone-alert-2026-07-07 Romania issued a RO-Alert for northern Tulcea County on July 7, 2026 after radar detected a drone group near Snake Island; NATO Eurofighters scrambled and the alert was lifted after 73 minutes. Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Snake Island Black Sea RO-Alert NATO Air Policing Eurofighter Typhoon airspace alert drone https://airveto.com/incidents/druskininkai-four-drones-contraband-2026-07-07 https://airveto.com/incidents/druskininkai-four-drones-contraband-2026-07-07 Lithuanian border guards landing four smuggling drones at once carrying 5,000+ packs of Belarusian cigarettes - the largest simultaneous drone interception in VSAT operational history. Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Druskininkai southern Lithuania contraband drones Lithuania VSAT Belarus tobacco smuggling https://airveto.com/briefs/omsk-refinery-2500km-strike-economic-warfare https://airveto.com/briefs/omsk-refinery-2500km-strike-economic-warfare Ukrainian drones struck Russia's largest refinery in Siberia, demonstrating that no industrial facility-however remote-is beyond the reach of autonomous aerial warfare. This is economic strangulation at strategic depth. Mon, 06 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Long-range drones Critical infrastructure Economic warfare Russian logistics Supply chain disruption https://airveto.com/briefs/ukrainian-long-range-sanctions-july-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukrainian-long-range-sanctions-july-2026 On Lithuania's Statehood Day, Ukrainian long-range drone strikes hit Russian Leningrad ports. This is economic warfare, not military maturation, and it explains Russia's militarization of civilian infrastructure. Mon, 06 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Baltic Sea Ukraine Long-range drones Economic sanctions Russian infrastructure https://airveto.com/briefs/russia-fuel-crisis-drone-strikes-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/russia-fuel-crisis-drone-strikes-2026 Ukraine has struck over 50 Russian oil facilities since March. About a third of Russia's refining capacity is offline. Putin acknowledged queues at petrol stations last week. Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Russia fuel crisis Ukraine drone strikes oil refinery Ust-Luga Primorsk Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/russia-rail-closures-finland-baltics-2026-07-01 https://airveto.com/briefs/russia-rail-closures-finland-baltics-2026-07-01 Zelenskyy calls Ukraine's refinery strikes 'long-range sanctions.' On 1 July, Russia closed seven rail crossings with Finland, Estonia and Latvia - no explanation given. The target zone explains it. Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Russia Finland Estonia Latvia rail closures Ust-Luga Primorsk Baltic security long-range sanctions https://airveto.com/briefs/marshal-vasilevskiy-russias-armed-civilian-fleet https://airveto.com/briefs/marshal-vasilevskiy-russias-armed-civilian-fleet Surveillance images show Russia installing machine guns on a Gazprom LNG carrier in the Baltic, signaling military escalation in response to proven Ukrainian drone capability. Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Baltic airspace Russia Drone threat Maritime security Escalation https://airveto.com/briefs/magura-v5-indopacific-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/magura-v5-indopacific-2026 Uforce's Magura sank a decommissioned ship in the Philippines for U.S. Special Forces. The same system downed two Russian Su-30s and two Mi-8 helicopters over the Black Sea. Sun, 28 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine Magura Black Sea Philippines Indo-Pacific naval drone USV https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-patria-6x6-mou-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-patria-6x6-mou-2026 Lithuania's State Defence Council announced procurement of 936 Patria 6x6s in May 2026. The MoU with KOVO Armor puts local production on the table. Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Lithuania Patria 6x6 CAVS KOVO Armor defence industry eastern border https://airveto.com/incidents/puvociai-balloon-2026-06-23 https://airveto.com/incidents/puvociai-balloon-2026-06-23 Vilnius University geography students discovered a contraband balloon payload at the Puvočiai field base in Varėna district during field practice in June 2026. Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Varėna district southern Lithuania Belarus balloons Lithuania Puvočiai https://airveto.com/incidents/kaliningrad-intercept-2026-06-20 https://airveto.com/incidents/kaliningrad-intercept-2026-06-20 On June 20, 2026, NATO fighters identified and escorted an AN-30 and Su-24MR reconnaissance pair with Su-35 escort flying from Kaliningrad to mainland Russia, all with transponders off and no flight plan. Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania NATO Baltic Air Policing AN-30 Su-24MR Su-35 Russia Baltic Sea military identification https://airveto.com/briefs/latvia-drone-criminal-law-2026-06-19 https://airveto.com/briefs/latvia-drone-criminal-law-2026-06-19 Latvia's Saeima passed Criminal Law amendments on 18 June making airborne devices an aggravating circumstance in smuggling offences. What it covers and why it took this long. Fri, 19 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Latvia legislation Saeima drones balloon smuggling Criminal Law Belarus https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-trophylab-2026-06-19 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-trophylab-2026-06-19 Ukraine's Ministry of Defence launched TrophyLab on 19 June - a platform giving verified partners access to technical documentation on captured Russian weapons, including the drones AirVeto covers. Fri, 19 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine TrophyLab Russian drones captured equipment Orlan Shahed open source intelligence https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-strikes-moscow-2026-06-18 https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-strikes-moscow-2026-06-18 On 18 June, Ukrainian drones struck Moscow's Kapotnya refinery for the second time in a week. The largest drone raid on the Russian capital since the full-scale war began. Thu, 18 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Moscow Ukraine Kapotnya drone strike Russia oil refinery Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/baltic-air-policing-2026-06-16 https://airveto.com/briefs/baltic-air-policing-2026-06-16 How NATO's Baltic Air Policing works: the two bases, the rotation, and what it took to go from scramble to shoot-down in May and June 2026. Tue, 16 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief NATO Baltic Air Policing Šiauliai Ämari Rafale F-16 Baltic security shoot-down https://airveto.com/briefs/ew-jamming-drone-diversion-2026-06-15 https://airveto.com/briefs/ew-jamming-drone-diversion-2026-06-15 How Russian EW diverts Ukrainian drones into NATO airspace. Kouvola (March 2026) and Nautrēni (June 2026) as worked examples, with AirVeto wind layer context. Mon, 15 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief electronic warfare GPS jamming Ukraine Russia NATO Baltic security Kouvola Nautrēni drone diversion https://airveto.com/briefs/gallant-boar-2026-suwalki-corridor https://airveto.com/briefs/gallant-boar-2026-suwalki-corridor Lithuania, Poland, and France run joint drills in the Suwałki Corridor June 16–26. What the exercise covers, why the corridor still defines Baltic defence planning, and what the wind looks like over it this week. Mon, 15 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Suwałki Gap NATO Lithuania Poland exercises Gallant Boar https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-air-alert-2026-06-13 https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-air-alert-2026-06-13 Lithuania issued a yellow-level air alert for Vilnius on June 13, 2026 after a meteorological balloon drifted from Belarus. All-clear after 23 minutes. Sat, 13 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Vilnius balloon meteorological balloon Belarus NATO Baltic Air Policing airspace alert Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/delta-palantir-sitaware-2026-06-11 https://airveto.com/briefs/delta-palantir-sitaware-2026-06-11 Side-by-side comparison of the three battlefield management systems used by Ukraine, the US, and Lithuania, with where AirVeto's public wind layer fits. Thu, 11 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief delta palantir sitaware battlefield-management comparison https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-storm-june-11-2026 https://airveto.com/briefs/lithuania-storm-june-11-2026 Lithuania's hydrometeorological service issued an orange warning for Vilnius, Utena, and Panevėžys counties on June 11, 2026. Wind gusts of 25 m/s are sweeping the exact border zones AirVeto monitors. Thu, 11 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief wind lithuania suwalki-gap weather https://airveto.com/briefs/f35-poland-flyover-2026-06-12 https://airveto.com/briefs/f35-poland-flyover-2026-06-12 Poland's first F-35A Husarz jets overfly Kraków, Warsaw, and Gdańsk on June 12, 2026. The program, the pilots, and what it means for NATO's eastern flank. Tue, 09 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief f-35 poland nato military https://airveto.com/incidents/nautreni-drone-2026-06-08 https://airveto.com/incidents/nautreni-drone-2026-06-08 On June 8, 2026, NATO jets shot down a foreign drone over Nautrēni Parish, Rēzekne Municipality - the first confirmed aerial intercept of a drone entering Latvian airspace from abroad. Mon, 08 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Rēzekne Nautrēni drone NATO French jets Rafale B Baltic Air Policing Šiauliai shoot-down Russian EW electromagnetic warfare Latgale https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-airport-balloon-closure-2026-06-08 https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-airport-balloon-closure-2026-06-08 Belarusian balloon markers closed Vilnius Airport from 01:18 to 04:00 EEST on June 8, 2026, disrupting five flights and 453 passengers; four aircraft were diverted, including two to Kaunas. Mon, 08 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Vilnius Vilnius airport airport closure Belarus balloons balloon smuggling hybrid warfare airspace incursion Baltic security Oro navigacija https://airveto.com/incidents/constanta-port-drone-2026-06-05 https://airveto.com/incidents/constanta-port-drone-2026-06-05 A Ukrainian Magura V5 unmanned surface vessel self-detonated at pier 77–78 in Romania's Port of Constanta on June 5, 2026 after Russian electronic warfare jamming caused it to lose navigation control during a Black Sea operation. Romania evacuated over 1,300 people from nearby beaches; no injuries were reported. Three other Ukrainian sea drones lost on the same day detonated offshore or at sea. Fri, 05 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Constanta Black Sea Magura V5 Ukrainian maritime drone sea drone naval drone Russian electronic warfare EW jamming NATO port explosion https://airveto.com/incidents/estonia-latvia-drone-alert-2026-06-03 https://airveto.com/incidents/estonia-latvia-drone-alert-2026-06-03 Overnight drone alerts across six Estonian counties and Latvia's Alūksne municipality on the night of June 2–3, 2026 - NATO air policing scrambled; no drone was confirmed destroyed. Wed, 03 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident EE Estonia Latvia drone NATO Baltic Air Policing airspace alert Võru Alūksne Baltic security Ust-Luga Primorsk https://airveto.com/incidents/galati-drone-2026-05-29 https://airveto.com/incidents/galati-drone-2026-05-29 A Russian Geran-2 drone hit a 10-storey apartment block on Bulevardul Brăilei in Galați at 00:00 UTC on May 29, 2026, injuring two residents - the first Russian drone strike to injure civilians on NATO territory. Fri, 29 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Galați drone Geran-2 Shahed NATO airspace incursion Danube NATO territory https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-hornet-balloon-drone https://airveto.com/briefs/ukraine-hornet-balloon-drone Ukraine is releasing Hornet AI strike drones from aerostats at 8,000 m to double effective range. The wind at that altitude sets the release window. Thu, 28 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Ukraine Drone Wind analysis Aerostat https://airveto.com/incidents/dridza-lake-drone-2026-05-23 https://airveto.com/incidents/dridza-lake-drone-2026-05-23 An unidentified drone crashed into Dridža Lake in Krāslava Municipality, Latvia, on May 23, 2026 and exploded on impact; no injuries were reported, and no detection alert was issued beforehand. Sat, 23 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Krāslava Latgale drone airspace incursion Baltic security detection failure https://airveto.com/incidents/utena-drones-2026-05-21 https://airveto.com/incidents/utena-drones-2026-05-21 Lithuania's second air-danger alert in two days - radar tracked two unidentified objects toward Utena on May 21, 2026; NATO fighters were scrambled but both signatures were lost and nothing was recovered. Thu, 21 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Utena drone NATO Baltic Air Policing airspace alert Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-latgale-drone-threat-2026-05-21 https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-latgale-drone-threat-2026-05-21 A drone air-threat alert covered Krāslava, Rēzekne, Ludza, and Augšdaugava on May 21, 2026; a drone was detected but not recovered, two days after the five-county shelter of 19 May. Thu, 21 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Latgale Krāslava Rēzekne Ludza Augšdaugava drone alert Belarus drone Drīdža Lake hybrid warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/briefs/how-not-to-report-important-data https://airveto.com/briefs/how-not-to-report-important-data A Lithuanian air-danger alert on May 20, 2026 shut an airport and emptied platforms while telling residents next to nothing. Three things it got wrong. Wed, 20 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Risk communication Data communication https://airveto.com/incidents/ignalina-drone-alert-2026-05-20 https://airveto.com/incidents/ignalina-drone-alert-2026-05-20 An unidentified radar mark from Belarus triggered Lithuania's air-danger alert on May 20, 2026, closing Vilnius Airport and moving officials to shelter; lifted at 10:58 with no impact confirmed. Wed, 20 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Vilnius Vilnius Airport Ignalina drone NATO Baltic Air Policing airspace alert Belarus border Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-eastern-drone-alert-2026-05-19 https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-eastern-drone-alert-2026-05-19 A drone entering from the direction of Russia triggered shelter-in-place orders across Latgale and Vidzeme on May 19, 2026, suspending train services; the drone was assessed as likely Ukrainian, diverted by Russian EW. Tue, 19 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Latgale Ludza Rēzekne Krāslava Augšdaugava Daugavpils Belarus drone drone alert hybrid warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-estonia-drone-shootdown-2026-05-19 https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-estonia-drone-shootdown-2026-05-19 On May 19, 2026, a Romanian NATO F-16 from the Baltic Air Policing detachment shot down an intruding drone near Kablaküla, Estonia - the first NATO fighter intercept of a drone over Baltic airspace. Tue, 19 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident EE Estonia Latvia drone NATO F-16 Baltic Air Policing shoot-down Lake Võrtsjärv Kablaküla airspace incursion Baltic security Romanian Air Force https://airveto.com/incidents/trakai-balloons-2026-05-19 https://airveto.com/incidents/trakai-balloons-2026-05-19 Two smuggling balloons carrying contraband cigarettes came down near a lake in Trakai district before dawn on May 19, 2026, a few houses from Seimas member Edita Rudelienė's home. Tue, 19 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Trakai Belarus balloons Lithuania contraband cigarettes smuggling balloon Vilnius region deep inland recovery https://airveto.com/incidents/utena-samane-drone-2026-05-17 https://airveto.com/incidents/utena-samane-drone-2026-05-17 A destroyed drone was found near Samanė village, Utena district, on May 17, 2026; Lithuanian radars had not detected it in flight, and preliminary markings suggested Ukrainian origin. Sun, 17 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Utena Samanė drone Ukrainian drone NKVC Plan Skydas airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/helsinki-vantaa-airport-drone-2026-05-15 https://airveto.com/incidents/helsinki-vantaa-airport-drone-2026-05-15 A drone alert closed Helsinki-Vantaa airport 04:00–07:19 EEST on May 15, 2026, triggering shelter-in-place for 1.8 million people; flights diverted to Stockholm Arlanda and Rovaniemi. No drone crossing into Finnish airspace was confirmed. Fri, 15 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Helsinki-Vantaa HEL airport closure drone alert Ukrainian drone shelter-in-place Uusimaa Russian electronic warfare Baltic security airspace incursion https://airveto.com/incidents/kaunas-sanciai-balloon-2026-05-13 https://airveto.com/incidents/kaunas-sanciai-balloon-2026-05-13 A balloon carrying ~9,000 cigarette packs landed in Šančiai, Kaunas, on May 13, 2026; the ICON wind field shows sustained southerly flow from the Hrodna (Grodno) oblast of Belarus. Wed, 13 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Kaunas Šančiai Belarus balloons Lithuania contraband cigarettes Hrodna oblast deep inland recovery https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-rezekne-vilani-drones-2026-05-07 https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-rezekne-vilani-drones-2026-05-07 Two drones struck the Rēzekne oil-storage facility in Latvia on May 7, 2026, damaging four fuel tanks and triggering the resignations of the defence minister and prime minister. Thu, 07 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Rēzekne Viļāni Latgale drone Ukrainian drone An-196 Lutyi airspace incursion NATO Baltic Air Policing Baltic security government crisis https://airveto.com/incidents/galati-bariera-traian-drone-2026-04-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/galati-bariera-traian-drone-2026-04-25 A Russian Geran-2 drone flew approximately 15 km over Romanian territory and crashed in the Bariera Traian district of northern Galați on April 25, 2026, damaging a farm outbuilding and an electricity pole but injuring no one. This is a distinct event from the May 29, 2026 Galați strike, in which a Geran-2 hit a 10-storey apartment block and injured two civilians. Sat, 25 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Galați Bariera Traian drone Geran-2 Shahed NATO Eurofighter Typhoon airspace incursion Danube https://airveto.com/briefs/three-months-of-cross-border-inflow https://airveto.com/briefs/three-months-of-cross-border-inflow Five months of incident reconstructions along the EU's eastern frontier reveal three patterns that country-level weather services can't show. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Incident archive Belarus balloons Wind analysis https://airveto.com/briefs/reading-the-suwalki-gap https://airveto.com/briefs/reading-the-suwalki-gap The Suwałki Gap is 65 km wide, flanked by Belarus and Kaliningrad. What its wind field looks like and which altitude layer predicts most incidents. Sat, 18 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT daniel-kovac Brief Suwałki Gap Wind analysis https://airveto.com/incidents/iitti-drone-2026-04-11 https://airveto.com/incidents/iitti-drone-2026-04-11 A Ukrainian drone with an unexploded warhead crashed in Perheniemi forest, Iitti, Kymenlaakso on April 11, 2026; Finnish EOD detonated the warhead at approximately 20:00 EEST. Finland's NBI opened two simultaneous criminal investigations. Sat, 11 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Iitti Kymenlaakso Perheniemi Ukrainian drone Chaika drone unexploded warhead NBI investigation Russian electronic warfare GPS jamming airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-airport-balloon-closure-2026-04-09 https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-airport-balloon-closure-2026-04-09 Vilnius Airport (EYVI) was closed for almost seven hours on April 9–10, 2026 after suspected smuggling balloons entered approach airspace from the Belarusian direction. Fri, 10 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Vilnius Airport Belarus balloons airspace closure Lithuania https://airveto.com/incidents/parikkala-lake-drone-2026-03-31 https://airveto.com/incidents/parikkala-lake-drone-2026-03-31 A Ukrainian Chaika drone with an unexploded warhead crashed on frozen Lake Pyhäjärvi near Parikkala on March 31, 2026, 2 km from the Russian border; the warhead was destroyed in a controlled detonation. Tue, 31 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Parikkala Kitee South Karelia Lake Pyhäjärvi Ukrainian drone Chaika drone unexploded warhead Russian electronic warfare GPS jamming airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/estonia-drone-alert-2026-03-31 https://airveto.com/incidents/estonia-drone-alert-2026-03-31 Estonian authorities issued EE-ALARM alerts across seven counties overnight on March 30–31, 2026 after the Estonian Defence Forces reported potential drone sightings over eastern and southern Estonia. A Finnair Helsinki-Tartu flight turned back over central Estonia; the alert was declared over by 06:00 local time on 31 March. Tue, 31 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident EE Estonia Ida-Viru Lääne-Viru Jõgeva Põlva Tartu Valga Võru drone EE-ALARM Finnair Estonian Defence Forces electronic warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/kouvola-drone-crash-2026-03-29 https://airveto.com/incidents/kouvola-drone-crash-2026-03-29 Two Ukrainian drones crashed in southeastern Finland on the morning of March 29, 2026 - one north of Kouvola carrying an unexploded warhead, one near Luumäki. Finnish authorities destroyed the warhead in a controlled detonation that evening. Finland's NBI later confirmed the drones were Chaika decoys, not AN-196s as initially reported. Russian electronic warfare jamming from the Leningrad region diverted them from a Ukrainian attack on the Ust-Luga oil terminal. Sun, 29 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident FI Finland Kouvola Kymenlaakso Luumäki Chaika drone AN-196 Ukrainian drone Ust-Luga Russian electronic warfare GPS jamming Baltic security airspace incursion https://airveto.com/incidents/parches-tulcea-drone-2026-03-26 https://airveto.com/incidents/parches-tulcea-drone-2026-03-26 A Russian Geran/Shahed attack drone crashed approximately 2 km from the village of Parcheș in northern Tulcea County at 00:44 local time (22:44 UTC) on March 26, 2026, after penetrating roughly 4 km into Romanian territory. No casualties or infrastructure damage were recorded. Thu, 26 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Parcheș drone Geran Shahed airspace incursion NATO Danube MApN https://airveto.com/incidents/auvere-power-station-drone-2026-03-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/auvere-power-station-drone-2026-03-25 A Ukrainian military drone entered Estonia from Russia and struck the chimney of the Auvere power station in Ida-Viru County in the early hours of March 25, 2026. Energy transmission was unaffected and no one was hurt; prosecutors confirmed the drone was not aimed at Estonia. Wed, 25 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident EE Estonia Auvere Ida-Viru Narva drone Ukrainian drone Enefit Power Ust-Luga electronic warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/kraslava-dobrocina-drone-2026-03-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/kraslava-dobrocina-drone-2026-03-25 A Ukrainian military drone crossed into Latvia from Russia and detonated near Dobročina village in the Krāslava municipality in the early hours of March 25, 2026. Latvian radar and acoustic sensors tracked it; the Air Force confirmed Ukrainian origin from the wreckage. Wed, 25 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Krāslava Dobročina drone Ukrainian drone Latgale Primorsk Ust-Luga electronic warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/varena-lavysas-drone-2026-03-23 https://airveto.com/incidents/varena-lavysas-drone-2026-03-23 A Ukrainian military drone crashed and exploded near Lake Lavysas in Lithuania's Varėna district in the early hours of March 23, 2026. Military radar did not detect it; the Prime Minister later confirmed Ukrainian origin and attributed the deviation to Russian electronic warfare. Mon, 23 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Lithuania Varėna Lake Lavysas drone Ukrainian drone Plan Skydas Primorsk electronic warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/galczyce-gerbera-mine-2026-03-12 https://airveto.com/incidents/galczyce-gerbera-mine-2026-03-12 On March 12, 2026, a lignite mine employee at Gałczyce, Konin County, reported a drone wreck on the mine grounds. Police from Konin and Poznań confirmed a Russian Gerbera decoy - assessed as having entered Poland six months earlier during the September 9–10, 2025 mass drone incursion and gone undetected until the find. Thu, 12 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Gałczyce Konin County Greater Poland Voivodeship Gerbera Russian drone drone find September 2025 March 2026 mine wreckage recovery https://airveto.com/incidents/norway-il20m-intercept-2026-03-11 https://airveto.com/incidents/norway-il20m-intercept-2026-03-11 Norwegian F-35s intercepted a Russian Il-20M reconnaissance aircraft off Finnmark two days running during NATO's Exercise Cold Response 2026, transponder off on the second day. Wed, 11 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident NO Norway Finnmark Il-20M Coot F-35 intercept Cold Response 2026 transponder off https://airveto.com/incidents/oresund-drone-2026-02-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/oresund-drone-2026-02-25 A drone launched from a Russian intelligence ship was jammed by the Swedish Navy in the Øresund strait on February 25, 2026, while the French carrier Charles de Gaulle was docked at Malmö. Wed, 25 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident SE Sweden Malmö Öresund drone Zhigulevsk Charles de Gaulle jamming Russian intelligence ship https://airveto.com/incidents/sfantu-gheorghe-tulcea-drone-2026-02-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/sfantu-gheorghe-tulcea-drone-2026-02-25 A Russian Shahed/Geran-type attack drone entered Romanian airspace near Sfântu Gheorghe in the Danube Delta on the evening of February 25, 2026, crossed northern Tulcea County, and exited over Black Sea territorial waters near Sulina without dropping debris on land. Two Romanian F-16s scrambled from Fetești Air Base; no injuries or infrastructure damage were recorded. Wed, 25 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Sfântu Gheorghe Danube Delta drone Geran Shahed airspace incursion NATO Black Sea https://airveto.com/incidents/druskininkai-seven-balloons-2026-02-06 https://airveto.com/incidents/druskininkai-seven-balloons-2026-02-06 Seven balloons were intercepted and two individuals arrested in the Druskininkai area on February 6, 2026 - a daily record for Lithuania in 2026. Sat, 07 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Druskininkai southern Lithuania Belarus balloons Lithuania VSAT https://airveto.com/incidents/sventoji-coast-twin-balloon-2026-01-31 https://airveto.com/incidents/sventoji-coast-twin-balloon-2026-01-31 A twin-envelope balloon crossed Lithuania east to west at 1–3 km altitude on January 31, 2026, arriving over Šventoji on the Baltic coast at around 09:00 local time. Sun, 01 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Šventoji Baltic coast Belarus balloons Lithuania https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-airport-balloons-2026-01-28 https://airveto.com/incidents/vilnius-airport-balloons-2026-01-28 Eight balloons entered Lithuanian airspace near Vilnius Airport at 03:00 UTC on January 28, 2026; four suspects were arrested. AirVeto's 7 km wind log shows ~71 km/h southerly flow from Belarus. Wed, 28 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LT Vilnius Airport Belarus balloons Lithuania prediction match https://airveto.com/incidents/przasnysz-ew-base-drone-2026-01-28 https://airveto.com/incidents/przasnysz-ew-base-drone-2026-01-28 An unknown drone crashed approximately 70 meters from Poland's 2nd Radio-Electronic Centre at Przasnysz on January 28, 2026; no intercept means were deployed at the time. Military police opened an investigation; origin undetermined. Wed, 28 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Przasnysz Masovia 2nd Radio-Electronic Centre SIGINT electronic warfare Suwałki Gap drone crash military installation hybrid warfare Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/podlaskie-belarus-balloons-2026-01 https://airveto.com/incidents/podlaskie-belarus-balloons-2026-01 Polish military radar detected Belarusian smuggling balloons crossing into Podlaskie on the night of January 21, 2026; Poland summoned the Belarusian chargé d'affaires on 22 January. Three consecutive nights of crossings on 31 January–2 February triggered emergency NOTAMs; five smugglers were arrested on February 5, 2026. Thu, 22 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Podlaskie Sokółka Białystok Belarus balloons Poland smuggling balloons hybrid warfare airspace incursion Belarus EP R130 https://airveto.com/incidents/tanasoaia-drone-2026-01-18 https://airveto.com/incidents/tanasoaia-drone-2026-01-18 Drone fragments were found in Tănăsoaia, Vrancea County on January 18, 2026 - the first confirmed drone find in Vrancea, adding a new county to Romania's airspace-violation record. Sun, 18 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tănăsoaia Vrancea drone fragments Russian drone inland penetration airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/poland-recon-aircraft-intercept-2025-12-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/poland-recon-aircraft-intercept-2025-12-25 Polish jets intercepted a Russian IL-20M ELINT aircraft over the Baltic on December 25, 2025 while Belarusian balloons simultaneously crossed Podlaskie - analysts characterised the two events as a coordinated hybrid probe of NATO's eastern-flank defences. Thu, 25 Dec 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Podlaskie Belarus balloons IL-20M Russian reconnaissance Baltic Sea hybrid probe UNSC NSB hybrid warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/bialystok-podlaskie-balloons-2025-12-24 https://airveto.com/incidents/bialystok-podlaskie-balloons-2025-12-24 On December 24, 2025, AirVeto's model flagged a Belarus→Poland crossing zone; Polish authorities overnight recovered four smuggling balloons - the first documented AirVeto prediction match. Thu, 25 Dec 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Białystok Podlaskie Belarus balloons Poland prediction match https://airveto.com/incidents/puiesti-drone-crash-2025-11-25 https://airveto.com/incidents/puiesti-drone-crash-2025-11-25 A Gerbera-type Russian drone crashed 100+ km inland near Puiești, Vaslui County on November 25, 2025, found by a resident behind their house; no warhead, first confirmed daylight breach in Romania. Tue, 25 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Puiești Vaslui Gerbera drone Russian drone NATO penetration daylight incursion deepest penetration airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-balloon-smuggling-2025-11-24 https://airveto.com/incidents/latvia-balloon-smuggling-2025-11-24 NBS radar tracked seven to eight Belarusian smuggling balloons crossing into Latgale on the night of November 23–24, 2025 - Latvia's first documented balloon-smuggling event, carrying more than 720,000 cigarettes. Mon, 24 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident LV Latvia Latgale Belarus balloons balloon smuggling NBS National Border Guard cigarette smuggling hybrid warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/tulcea-galati-drone-2025-11-19 https://airveto.com/incidents/tulcea-galati-drone-2025-11-19 A drone penetrated 8 km into Romanian NATO airspace near Tulcea-Galați on November 19, 2025; two Romanian F-16s and two German Eurofighters were scrambled. Origin uncertain, no wreckage recovered. Wed, 19 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Tulcea Galați Danube drone penetration Russian drone F-16 Eurofighter NATO airspace airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/grindu-drone-crash-2025-11-10 https://airveto.com/incidents/grindu-drone-crash-2025-11-10 A drone crashed near Grindu, Tulcea County on November 10, 2025; weather grounded Romanian F-16s and the jets were not scrambled. RO-Alert issued at 00:07, debris confirmed at the site. Mon, 10 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Grindu Tulcea Dobrogea drone crash Russian drone RO-Alert F-16 weather airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/landvetter-airport-drone-2025-11-06 https://airveto.com/incidents/landvetter-airport-drone-2025-11-06 Drones forced the closure of Göteborg Landvetter, Sweden's second-largest airport, for roughly 3.5 hours on November 6, 2025, cancelling 24 flights and delaying dozens more. Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident SE Sweden Gothenburg Landvetter drone airport closure Swedavia https://airveto.com/incidents/warsaw-belweder-drone-2025-09-15 https://airveto.com/incidents/warsaw-belweder-drone-2025-09-15 A drone was neutralised over the Belweder Palace district in Warsaw at 17:00 UTC on September 15, 2025; a Belarusian woman and a Ukrainian man were detained and charged under the Aviation Act. ABW found no foreign intelligence link. Mon, 15 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Warsaw Belweder drone interception Belarusian nationals special operations hybrid warfare airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/chilia-veche-drone-loiter-2025-09-13 https://airveto.com/incidents/chilia-veche-drone-loiter-2025-09-13 A Russian drone entered Romanian NATO airspace near Chilia Veche on September 13, 2025, loitered for 50 minutes, and returned to Ukraine; four NATO jets were scrambled but the drone was not intercepted. Sat, 13 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident RO Romania Chilia Veche Tulcea Danube Delta Russian drone NATO airspace F-16 Eurofighter Zelenskyy airspace loiter airspace incursion Baltic security https://airveto.com/incidents/wyryki-wola-missile-2025-09-09 https://airveto.com/incidents/wyryki-wola-missile-2025-09-09 During Russia's September 9–10, 2025 mass drone incursion into Poland - 19–23 decoy drones, the first NATO shots since the full-scale invasion began - a Polish F-16's AIM-120 AMRAAM suffered a guidance failure and struck a residential building in Wyryki-Wola, Włodawa County. The 150 kg missile did not detonate. It was the first time in the war that a NATO air-defence missile caused structural damage inside a NATO state. Tue, 09 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Wyryki-Wola Włodawa County Lublin Voivodeship AIM-120 AMRAAM F-16 NATO drone incursion Gerbera Operation Eastern Sentry September 2025 Russia Article 4 https://airveto.com/incidents/majdan-selce-gerbera-2025-09-06 https://airveto.com/incidents/majdan-selce-gerbera-2025-09-06 A Russian Gerbera decoy drone was found in a field near Majdan Sielec, Tomaszów Lubelski County, on September 6, 2025 - roughly 50 km from the Ukrainian border. Pre-flight markings dated 2 September and the Cyrillic label 'БГ' (combat-ready) confirmed Russian origin. Polish officials initially claimed it had 'no military characteristics'; TVN24 photographs proved otherwise. Sat, 06 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Majdan Sielec Tomaszów Lubelski County Lublin Voivodeship Gerbera Russian drone drone crash September 2025 decoy drone Ukraine border https://airveto.com/incidents/osiny-shahed-crash-2025-08-20 https://airveto.com/incidents/osiny-shahed-crash-2025-08-20 A Russian Shahed drone with a Chinese MD550 engine crashed at approximately 02:00 CEST on August 20, 2025 in Osiny, Łuków County; the drone flew over Polish territory for 2.5 hours undetected before crashing. Wed, 20 Aug 2025 00:00:00 GMT AirVeto Incident PL Poland Osiny Łuków Lublin Shahed MD550 Chinese engine airspace incursion hybrid warfare Baltic security