Our wind reconstructions cover the start of 4 of these incidents. At each one's reconstruction height, the wind then came from the southwest in 2 of them.
All 4 incidents, newest first
- 🇱🇹 · Oct 7, 2026 · Varėna
Lithuania balloon cargos, Oct 8 - nine, 55,490 packs
Over Varėna, the wind at every height from 80 m to 3 km came from the Belarus side in all 13 hourly readings between midnight and noon on October 8, and the seats of the four districts where cargoes were seized lie 17 to 127 km from the Belarus border. - 🇱🇹 · Jul 22, 2026 · Piesčiai village
Cross-border tunnel found near Kabeliai before completion
VSAT Kabeliai Border Post detected a Belarus-to-Lithuania tunnel near Piesčiai, Varėna district on July 22, 2026. Diameter 1m, depth 1.5m, 5m in, no Lithuanian exit. - 🇱🇹 · Jun 10, 2026 · Puvočiai field base
Puvočiai balloon payload, Jun 2026 - students find cargo box
Vilnius University geography students discovered a contraband balloon payload at the Puvočiai field base in Varėna district during field practice in June 2026. - 🇱🇹 · Mar 23, 2026 · Lake Lavysas
Ukrainian drone crashes into Lake Lavysas, Lithuania
A Ukrainian military drone crashed near Lake Lavysas, Varėna district, in the early hours of March 23, 2026. Radar missed it; the Prime Minister blamed Russian electronic warfare.
Counts and the list are built from the AirVeto incident archive. Methodology: see /about/methodology. AirVeto is situational awareness and decision support, used alongside official systems. It does not replace them.