Reconstructing Baltic airspace events from wind data.
Short, timestamped reconstructions of individual airspace incidents across Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Ukraine, anchored by AirVeto's wind field at the event's coordinates and timestamp. Each entry links to primary sources and can be embedded by newsrooms.
Vilnius Airport closed 22:30 April 9 – 03:30 April 10 2026 after suspected balloon incursion from Belarus
Vilnius International Airport (EYVI) suspended operations from 22:30 UTC on 9 April to 03:30 UTC on 10 April 2026 after objects consistent with smuggling balloons were detected in the approach airspace. Reconstruction of the wind field at the relevant altitudes across the Lithuanian-Belarusian border.
Druskininkai, Southern Lithuania — seven balloons intercepted on 6 February 2026, year-to-date record for single day
Seven balloons were intercepted and two individuals arrested in the Druskininkai area of southern Lithuania on Friday 6 February 2026, according to BNS and LRT. Reconstruction of the wind field along the Lithuanian-Belarusian border during the event window.
Šventoji coast, Lithuania — twin-envelope balloon contraption drifts east-to-west across country at 9:00 local on 31 January 2026
A twin-envelope balloon contraption crossed Lithuania from east to west at roughly 1–3 km altitude and ~30 km/h ground speed, arriving over the Šventoji coast around 9:00 local on 31 January 2026. Reconstruction of the wind field at low-to-mid altitudes.
Vilnius Airport balloon incursion 28 January 2026 — 8 balloons intercepted, 55 km/h wind at 7 km from south
Overnight on 28 January 2026, at 03:00 UTC, eight balloons crossed into Lithuanian airspace near Vilnius Airport and four suspects were arrested. AirVeto's wind log at 7 km over Lithuania recorded 55 km/h from the south — a drift envelope directly favoring inflow from Belarus toward EU airspace.
Białystok / Podlaskie airspace violations 24–25 December 2025 — wind-predicted crossing corridor from Belarus confirmed
AirVeto's wind model flagged a crossing corridor from Belarus into Poland through the Podlaskie region on 24 December 2025; overnight Polish authorities recovered four objects identified as smuggling balloons. First publicly documented AirVeto prediction match.