Our wind reconstructions cover the start of 5 of these incidents. At each one's reconstruction height, the wind then came from the northeast in 3 of them.
Background on the area: Polish-Belarusian border.
All 5 incidents, newest first
- 馃嚨馃嚤 路 Jul 13, 2026 路 Sura偶
Sura偶 balloon cargo, 13 Jul 2026 - two Lithuanians detained
Polish border guards in Podlaskie detained two Lithuanians collecting 350 cartons of contraband cigarettes delivered by weather balloon to Sura偶 on July 13, 2026. - 馃嚨馃嚤 路 Apr 20, 2026 路 Bobrowniki border area
Bobrowniki drone arrest, April 2026 - 3 detained at border
Polish border guards at Bobrowniki detained three men - two Belarusians and one Pole - collecting cigarettes delivered by drone from Belarus, April 2026. - 馃嚨馃嚤 路 Jan 16, 2026 路 Ku藕nica
Belarus balloons reach Podlaskie and Lublin, 17 Jan 2026
On the night of 16-17 January, AirVeto's wind data shows the air from the ground to 3,000 m blowing from the south and southeast, away from the border; only air at 4,000 m and above flowed in from Belarus, and balloons were recovered up to 229 km from Ku藕nica. - 馃嚨馃嚤 路 Dec 25, 2025 路 Podlaskie Voivodeship / Baltic Sea
Russian IL-20M shadows balloon drop over Podlaskie, Poland
Polish jets intercepted a Russian IL-20M ELINT aircraft over the Baltic on December 25, 2025 while Belarusian balloons crossed Podlaskie - analysts called it a coordinated hybrid probe. - 馃嚨馃嚤 路 Dec 24, 2025 路 Podlaskie Voivodeship
Smuggling balloons land across Bia艂ystok and Podlaskie, Poland
Goni膮dz, one of the four reported landing sites, lies about 61 km west of the nearest point on AirVeto's outline of the Belarusian border, a straight-line minimum of about two hours of drift at the 29 km/h flow from the east-northeast that AirVeto's wind data shows at 3,000 m.
Counts and the list are built from the AirVeto incident archive. Methodology: see /about/methodology. AirVeto is situational awareness and decision support, used alongside official systems. It does not replace them.