See where the wind is carrying things - right now.
Contraband balloons drift where the wind takes them. Drones cross where the border is softest. This map shows both - and every past incident matched to the conditions that carried it.
Recent cross-border balloon and aircraft incidents.
Every reported incursion since December 2025聽-聽launch coordinates, the wind field at the time, drift trajectory, landing point. Source-linked. Each entry is its own page; deep-link any timestamp to the live map at the event location.
Cerni葲a Gerbera drone, Moldova, 24 Sep 2026
A Russian Gerbera-type drone with an onboard camera crashed near Cerni葲a, Flore葯ti District, Moldova on 24 Sep 2026, the first such device Moldovan police say they have found in the country.
Solca drone crash, Suceava County, 24 Sep 2026
A drone crossed from Ukraine into Romania's Suceava County and crashed near Solca on 24 Sep 2026, four minutes after entering national airspace.
Braniewo helicopter, Sep 23, 2026 - jets scrambled
A Russian Mi-8 military helicopter crossed briefly into Polish airspace near Braniewo from Kaliningrad on September 23, 2026, prompting Poland to scramble fighter jets.Our focus regions.
EU鈥揃elarus land border
Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia share over 1,200 km of EU-external border with Belarus. Wind at six altitudes from Bia艂owie偶a to the Latvian frontier.
Suwa艂ki Gap
The 65-km land bridge between Kaliningrad and Belarus - the narrowest link between the Baltic states and the rest of NATO.
Kaliningrad
The Russian exclave bordered by Poland and Lithuania - the closest point of Russian-controlled territory to the Suwa艂ki Gap, 20 km east.
Vilnius International Airport
Lithuania's main airport, 30 km from the Belarusian border - closed more than ten times by balloon incursions since October 2025.
Gulf of Finland
Baltic arm between Estonia and Finland, closed to the east by Russia - dense AIS traffic, GPS-spoofing reports, and stray drone intercepts.
Baltic states鈥揜ussia border
Estonia's Narva line, Lake Peipus, and Latvia's eastern frontier - the EU's direct land boundary with Russia. AIS tracking covers the Baltic Sea approaches.
Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia share over 1,200 km of EU-external border with Belarus. Wind at six altitudes from Bia艂owie偶a to the Latvian frontier.
MoreLatest briefs.
From balloon incursions over Polish airspace to drone events near Vilnius and Suwalki Gap overflights - reconstructed from ADS-B tracks, wind models, and open-source evidence. For OSINT analysts and defence journalists covering Baltic security.
