See where the wind is carrying things - right now.
Contraband balloons drift where the wind takes them. Drones cross where the border is softest. This map shows both - and every past incident matched to the conditions that carried it.
Recent cross-border balloon and aircraft incidents.
Every reported incursion since December 2025 - launch coordinates, the wind field at the time, drift trajectory, landing point. Source-linked. Each entry is its own page; deep-link any timestamp to the live map at the event location.
Lithuania air alert: radar mark was a bird flock, 13 Sep 2026
Lithuania's yellow-level air danger alert on 13 September 2026 was cancelled 29 minutes later; the radar mark was a bird flock, not a drone.
Starokozache border crossing drone strike, 9 Sep 2026
Russian drones struck the Starokozache checkpoint on Ukraine's border with Moldova overnight, killing two civilians and wounding three on 9 September 2026.
Russian drone delays Zelenskyy, sets off RO-Alert
A Russian drone crossed Moldova into Romania and crashed near Mihăileni Vechi on 8 September 2026, closing Moldovan airspace and delaying Zelenskyy's flight to Oslo.Our focus regions.
Coverage is concentrated along the EU’s eastern edge - the land and sea boundaries between member states and Russia or Belarus.
EU–Belarus land border
Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia share over 1,200 km of EU-external border with Belarus. Wind at six altitudes from Białowieża to the Latvian frontier.Suwałki Gap
The 65-km land bridge between Kaliningrad and Belarus - the narrowest link between the Baltic states and the rest of NATO.Kaliningrad
The Russian exclave bordered by Poland and Lithuania - the closest point of Russian-controlled territory to the Suwałki Gap, 20 km east.Vilnius International Airport
Lithuania's main airport, 30 km from the Belarusian border - closed more than ten times by balloon incursions since October 2025.Gulf of Finland
Baltic arm between Estonia and Finland, closed to the east by Russia - dense AIS traffic, GPS-spoofing reports, and stray drone intercepts.Baltic states–Russia border
Estonia's Narva line, Lake Peipus, and Latvia's eastern frontier - the EU's direct land boundary with Russia. AIS tracking covers the Baltic Sea approaches.Latest briefs.
From balloon incursions over Polish airspace to drone events near Vilnius and Suwalki Gap overflights - reconstructed from ADS-B tracks, wind models, and open-source evidence. For OSINT analysts and defence journalists covering Baltic security.
