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NATO air policingSuwałki corridorMilitary aviationElectronic warfareBaltic defence
Articles (68)
- Incident · 2026-01-28

Drone lands 70 metres from Polish EW base at Przasnysz
An unknown drone crashed approximately 70 metres from Poland's 2nd Radio-Electronic Centre at Przasnysz on 28 January 2026; no intercept means were deployed at the time. Military police opened an investigation; origin undetermined. - Incident · 2026-01-22

Belarus balloons force three-night airspace closure over Podlaskie
Polish military radar detected Belarusian smuggling balloons crossing into Podlaskie on the night of 21 January 2026; Poland summoned the Belarusian chargé d'affaires on 22 January. Three consecutive nights of crossings on 31 January–2 February triggered emergency NOTAMs; five smugglers were arrested on 5 February 2026. - Incident · 2026-01-18

Drone lands near Tănăsoaia — first in Vrancea County, Romania
Drone fragments were found in Tănăsoaia, Vrancea County on 18 January 2026 — the first confirmed drone find in Vrancea, adding a new county to Romania's airspace-violation record. - Incident · 2025-12-25

Russian IL-20M shadows balloon drop over Podlaskie, Poland
Polish jets intercepted a Russian IL-20M ELINT aircraft over the Baltic on 25 December 2025 while Belarusian balloons simultaneously crossed Podlaskie — analysts characterised the two events as a coordinated hybrid probe of NATO's eastern-flank defences. - Incident · 2025-12-25

Smuggling balloons land across Białystok and Podlaskie, Poland
On 24 December 2025, AirVeto's model flagged a Belarus→Poland crossing corridor; Polish authorities overnight recovered four smuggling balloons — the first documented AirVeto prediction match. - Incident · 2025-11-25

Gerbera decoy found 100 km inland near Puiești, Romania
A Gerbera-type Russian drone crashed 100+ km inland near Puiești, Vaslui County on 25 November 2025, found by a resident behind their house; no warhead, first confirmed daylight breach in Romania.
Glossary (20)
- Drone
Shahed-136
Iranian-designed one-way attack drone, mass-produced by Russia as the Geran-2; the loitering munition most frequently detected crossing into EU airspace. - Drone
Gerbera
Russian fixed-wing decoy drone that mimics the Shahed-136 profile to overload Ukrainian air defence, increasingly fitted with warheads for direct strikes. - Drone
Chaika
Ukrainian fixed-wing decoy drone easily mistaken in flight for the larger AN-196 Liutyi; a March 2026 Finland incident required a public correction. - Drone
Loitering munition
Umbrella term for a guided drone built to loiter over or fly toward a target before diving in and detonating; slower and more wind-affected than a missile. - Drone
Magura V5
Ukrainian unmanned strike boat operated by military intelligence against Russia's Black Sea Fleet, credited with over 17 warships sunk or damaged since 2023. - Drone
Hornet
US-built, AI-enabled one-way strike drone used by Ukraine against Russian logistics routes linking Russia to occupied Crimea. Not confirmed in any EU border incident. - Drone
Lancet
Russian tactical loitering munition used against Ukrainian artillery and armour near the front line; not confirmed in EU airspace. - Drone
Orlan-10
Russian reconnaissance and electronic-warfare drone used for artillery spotting inside Ukraine; almost entirely absent from EU airspace incidents. - Drone
DART
Ukrainian glide munition launched from stratospheric balloons, designed to defeat jamming by shutting off navigation before impact. - Drone
Italmas
Russian long-range loitering munition, built by Lancet-maker ZALA Aero, flown in mixed raids alongside Shahed and Gerbera drones since 2023. - Drone
AN-196 Liutyi
Ukraine's long-range strike drone built to answer the Shahed-136; the airframe Chaika is frequently mistaken for in EU airspace incidents. - Drone
Sea Baby
Ukrainian heavy naval strike drone operated by the SBU; struck the Kerch Bridge twice and now carries rocket and machine-gun variants. - Ground robot
GOBLIN
Polish unmanned ground vehicle for reconnaissance and casualty evacuation, tested defending the Suwałki Gap during NATO's Gallant Boar 2026 exercise. - Ground robot
GNOM
Polish ground-launched loitering munition, GOBLIN's smaller sibling, tested for kinetic strikes on armour during 2025 and 2026 NATO exercises. - System
Patria 6x6
Finnish 6x6 armoured personnel carrier and the base platform for NATO's multinational CAVS programme; Lithuania announced plans to procure 936 units in May 2026. - Electronic warfare
GPS spoofing
Technique that broadcasts counterfeit satellite signals to make a receiver report a false position; documented against tankers in the Gulf of Finland. - Electronic warfare
GNSS jamming
Technique that overpowers satellite-navigation frequencies with noise, denying any position fix; persistent over the Baltic Sea and Kaliningrad. - Electronic warfare
Datalink override
Suspected technique for hijacking a drone's command or navigation link mid-flight; the Baltic incidents linked to it show broad electronic-warfare diversion, not confirmed link takeover. - Electronic warfare
Tobol
Russian stationary electronic-warfare complex in Kaliningrad, repeatedly identified as a source of GPS jamming across the Baltic and Poland. - System
Baltic Sentry
NATO's ongoing maritime mission to protect Baltic Sea undersea cables and pipelines, launched after suspected sabotage of a Finland-Estonia power link.
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