See where the wind is carrying things — right now.
Contraband balloons drift where the wind takes them. Drones cross where the border is softest. This map shows both — and every past incident matched to the conditions that carried it.
Recent cross-border balloon and aircraft incidents.
Every reported incursion since December 2025 — launch coordinates, the wind field at the time, drift trajectory, landing point. Source-linked. Each entry is its own page; deep-link any timestamp to the live map at the event location.
Romania F-16 shoots down drone - 24 July 2026
Romania's first drone intercept in its own airspace: F-16 from the 86th Air Base shot down an unidentified drone near Padina, Buzău county at 11:02 EEST on 24 July 2026.
Kotka Gulf of Finland drone alerts July 2026
Finland imposed four temporary airspace and maritime restrictions on the eastern Gulf of Finland between 2 and 18 July 2026, each linked to Ukrainian drone strikes near St Petersburg.
Kenas border outpost drone intercepted, July 2026
VSAT officers at the Kenas outpost heard a drone crossing from Belarus on the night of 17 July 2026 but couldn't find it in darkness. A dog handler located it the next morning in forest near Šumskų village, Vilnius district.Our focus regions.
Coverage is concentrated along the EU’s eastern edge — the land and sea boundaries between member states and Russia or Belarus.
EU–Belarus land border
Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia share over 1,200 km of EU-external border with Belarus. Wind at six altitudes from Białowieża to the Latvian frontier.Suwałki Gap
The 65-km land bridge between Kaliningrad and Belarus — the narrowest link between the Baltic states and the rest of NATO.Kaliningrad
The Russian exclave bordered by Poland and Lithuania — the closest point of Russian-controlled territory to the Suwałki Gap, 20 km east.Vilnius International Airport
Lithuania's main airport, 30 km from the Belarusian border — closed more than ten times by balloon incursions since October 2025.Gulf of Finland
Baltic arm between Estonia and Finland, closed to the east by Russia — dense AIS traffic, GPS-spoofing reports, and stray drone intercepts.Baltic states–Russia border
Estonia's Narva line, Lake Peipus, and Latvia's eastern frontier — the EU's direct land boundary with Russia. AIS tracking covers the Baltic Sea approaches.Latest briefs.
From balloon incursions over Polish airspace to drone events near Vilnius and Suwalki Gap overflights — reconstructed from ADS-B tracks, wind models, and open-source evidence. For OSINT analysts and defence journalists covering Baltic security.
